Numb3rs
Finding a Killer with Statistical Modeling II
In this scene, Charlie and Don are trying to come up with equations for finding the killer's home location. Using what Don knows about crime, Charlie then makes equations to reflect this.
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Video Transcript
0:00
avoiding detection
0:02
so frequent public areas Parks streets that don't get a lot of traffic
0:06
waiting for moments of isolation
0:09
isolated areas
0:11
high probability of attacks
0:14
TV distracting you I can turn it off
0:16
it's fine dad
0:18
what else
0:21
serial offenders cover a wide region
0:24
but rarely commit crimes near their homes
0:26
to buffer zone
0:27
early in the cycle buffer zones will vary in size but as the cycle matures they tend to stabilize guys follow patterns exactly
0:35
there's also distance Decay
0:36
the more intensity
0:37
attacker feels about a crime the further he will travel to commit in order to look at those how do you gauge intensity
0:43
by the nature and the extent of the injuries the length of each abduction right here in stew ritualize behavior
0:49
and this to be in
0:50
since by estimated intensity
0:53
well great
0:54
this will give me enough to
0:55
start putting together some Expressions so just give me a minute
0:58
shoot
